What should the US do on Syria?
For the US to act as part of the international community and through the UN, it must commit itself in this particular case – and in general – to a diplomatic strategy of building common perceptions and sharing understandings.
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By Gerard M. Gallucci
With President Obama’s unexpected decision to seek congressional approval before taking any military action against Syria he has either found a smart way to avoid the consequences of drawing his “red line” or simply gained some time before doing something. Depends on the response of the US Congress and Obama’s response to that. Will Congress approve action or disapprove? Will Obama accept a negative outcome or take action anyway? But none of these are the real questions the US should be asking itself. Instead, America should be asking what can be done to end the ongoing conflict that has taken many more lives than those lost in the recent chemical attack.
One answer would be to use a military response to Assad’s use of chemical weapons as an opportunity to tilt the military balance away from his forces. To get the support of congressional hawks who have been pressing for actions to remove Assad, such as Senator McCain, the White House is already suggesting that the “limited” response will aim to degrade the regime’s ability to deliver weapons by hitting air assets and command and control. There will also be more arms for the rebels. The resolution of support that appears to be emerging in the US Senate would give President Obama the “authorization” to take action for 60-90 days. That could result in a considerable US military involvement in the Syrian civil war.
It’s still not clear if Obama will get Congressional support. Probably in the Senate but maybe not in the House of Representatives. Members of that body all must face election in 2014 and may be thinking hard about how they would explain to war-weary voters their support for another US entanglement that went awry. But whether or not President Obama gets the support from the US Congress, unilateral action without approval by the UN Security Council still would be illegal under international law. So what could be done without the US taking upon itself to use military force anyway?
Many will remain with doubts about the US intelligence that indicates the recent chemical attack was an act of the Assad government. But supposing it is accurate – and I believe the US government and intelligence community have learned lessons since the Iraq WMD debacle – there can be little doubt such use demands a response. But not from any one country or group acting outside the framework of UN Charter that all 193 members have signed. (The US Senate ratified the Charter on July 28, 1945 making it – under the US Constitution – “the supreme law of the land.”) Rather, it falls to the entire international community to assume the responsibility to protect the Syrian people from further attack, chemical or otherwise.
For the US to act as part of the international community and through the UN, it must commit itself in this particular case – and in general – to a diplomatic strategy of building common perceptions and sharing understandings. Let the UN inspectors complete their work. Allow the regional Arab states and others to see that the US will not act alone and without them. Discuss with Russia exactly what President Putin meant by reportedly suggesting willingness to consider a resolution on Syria. Perhaps Assad will find US efforts, to work in a sustained fashion for a united international response, more constraining than a one-off military action.
If the Security Council remains unable to reach consensus, try the UN General Assembly. The UNGA – acting under Chapter 4 of the UN Charter (Arts 11 or 14) may make recommendations to the UNSC on matters of peace and security. Let the US work within that body – and reach out in that context to regional actors including Iran – to bring pressure to bear on Syria and its allies and to embarrass the UNSC into action. That would be the way to build something lasting, a real precedent.
Gerard M. Gallucci is a retired US diplomat and UN peacekeeper. He worked as part of US efforts to resolve the conflicts in Angola, South Africa and Sudan and as Director for Inter-American Affairs at the National Security Council. He served as UN Regional Representative in Mitrovica, Kosovo from July 2005 until October 2008 and as Chief of Staff for the UN mission in East Timor from November 2008 until June 2010. He will serve as Diplomat-in-Residence at Drake University for the 2013-14 school year.
To read other articles by Gerard for TransConflict, please click here. If you are interested in responding to this article, please do not hesitate to contact us by clicking here.
What should the US do on Syria? | TransConflict http://t.co/l34ePm2GoH
What should the US do on Syria? – TransConflict http://t.co/KtB3sCpNOj
RT @MonicaCurcaPAX: What should the US do on Syria? – TransConflict http://t.co/KtB3sCpNOj
RT @MonicaCurcaPAX: What should the US do on Syria? – TransConflict http://t.co/KtB3sCpNOj
An alternative to military intervention? RT “@TransConflict: What should the #US do on #Syria? http://t.co/pjcwEMAXMU“
RT @Hashdouble: An alternative to military intervention? RT “@TransConflict: What should the #US do on #Syria? http://t.co/pjcwEMAXMU“
RT @Hashdouble: An alternative to military intervention? RT “@TransConflict: What should the #US do on #Syria? http://t.co/pjcwEMAXMU“
@TransConflict Great piece! Hope you saw ours on #UK non-military/multilateral options via @openDemocracy http://t.co/EXG041fLpO
What should #US do on #Syria? Use diplomacy to work within #UN Charter & international law. Include #Russia & #Iran http://t.co/BVnKU5rOKg
Is the #US asking itself the wrong questions on #Syria? http://t.co/ie8BukiRid
1 thoughtful US/Syria proposal MT @TransConflict: US act as part of intl community through UN. Rationale here: http://t.co/eXgoGAhpzY
RT @afburnett: Is the #US asking itself the wrong questions on #Syria? http://t.co/ie8BukiRid
RT @afburnett: Is the #US asking itself the wrong questions on #Syria? http://t.co/ie8BukiRid
RT @afburnett: Is the #US asking itself the wrong questions on #Syria? http://t.co/ie8BukiRid
RT @afburnett: Is the #US asking itself the wrong questions on #Syria? http://t.co/ie8BukiRid
RT @cbtbaldwin: 1 thoughtful US/Syria proposal MT @TransConflict: US act as part of intl community through UN. Rationale here: http://t.co/…
RT @cbtbaldwin: 1 thoughtful US/Syria proposal MT @TransConflict: US act as part of intl community through UN. Rationale here: http://t.co/…
RT @BoyBlue1103: What should #US do on #Syria? Use diplomacy to work within #UN Charter & international law. Include #Russia & #Iran http:/…
RT @BoyBlue1103: What should #US do on #Syria? Use diplomacy to work within #UN Charter & international law. Include #Russia & #Iran http:/…
One should remember that the opponents of Assad regime have possiblity and motivation to use chemical weapons and indeed they probably have already used them in Spring 2013. It might be also possible that lower-ranking officers in al Assad’s military used chemical weapons without his knowledge and perhaps against his wishes. Anyway even in this case there is no reason to military attack against al Assad. (More about this e.g in: “Syrian Rebels Admit Chemical Attack In Damascus???” http://arirusila.wordpress.com/2013/08/31/syrian-rebels-admit-chemical-attack-in-damascus/ ).
Also the latest info is that US does not know where WMDs of regime are so there is two follow-ups: a) the opposition can have some of them, b) the unclear location can be hit by air-strike causing extra collateral damage. While all options are open what happened in relation of chemical weapons from my perspective we must wait more. Now in my opinion it is crucial to put pressure to all sides to start talks and peace process without preconditions and fast.
For a discussion that I took part in on these points – try The World Tonight radio podcast “G20 summit ends with stark split on Syria” which can be downloaded here: http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/radio4/wtonight/wtonight_20130906-2002a.mp3
What should the #US do on #Syria? Tansconflict, http://t.co/Q2Mj487qyj
RT @ItalianPolitics: What should the #US do on #Syria? Tansconflict, http://t.co/Q2Mj487qyj
RT @ItalianPolitics: What should the #US do on #Syria? Tansconflict, http://t.co/Q2Mj487qyj
Very shallow analysis!
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